tour championship dfs picks

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PGA DFS Picks: TOUR Championship Cash and GPP Strategy

Tour championship.

Atlanta, Georgia East Lake Golf Club - Par 70 - 7,346 yards Field - 30 entrants Purse - $75M

The Preview

Extremely hot and muggy conditions accompany the PGA Tour's late-August voyage to the 2022-23 season's grand finale as East Lake Golf Club once again plays host to the TOUR Championship, inviting those among the top 30 in the FedExCup standings after advancing through the first two legs of the playoffs. East Lake's narrow fairways and penalizing bermuda rough remain the same, so we'll revisit the unique Starting Strokes format that staggers this leaderboard before any shots are even struck.

Yahoo indicates that "scoring for final placement for the Tour Championship will include the weighted scoring when the tournament begins," but the DFS penalty for a starting stroke disparity is less severe the further down the leaderboard you travel. The gap in fantasy points received near the bottom is minuscule, especially with four guaranteed rounds of actual scoring still to be played. The difference between the bonus for a player finishing 11th vs. finishing 30th is worth only three fantasy points, or less than a single birdie over the course of 72 holes. The difference between finishing second and 10th is worth only four fantasy points. Whereas the difference between a golfer finishing in first place vs. fourth place is 17 fantasy points. So, it's as important as ever to roster the eventual champion, but grinding the starting-strokes conundrum near the bottom of the leaderboard doesn't have to be as trivial as it might sound.

Recent Champions

2022 - Rory McIlroy 2021 - Patrick Cantlay 2020 - Dustin Johnson 2019 - Rory McIlroy 2018 - Tiger Woods 2017 - Xander Schauffele 2016 - Rory McIlroy 2015 - Jordan Spieth 2014 - Billy Horschel 2013 - Henrik Stenson

Key Stats to Victory

SG: Approach Driving accuracy Birdie or Better percentage SG: Putting

Yahoo Value Picks

Based on $200 salary cap

Cream of the Crop

Scottie Scheffler - $50 (10-under-par)

This slate would be a lot more interesting and competitively balanced if Scheffler were priced closer to $60, but his projected ownership is monumental at just a $50 salary. Rising to the top spot in the FedExCup standings after a T2 at Olympia Fields last week, Scheffler begins the TOUR Championship at 10-under-par in the Starting Strokes format, as if being the best ball-striker in the world wasn't advantageous enough. Consequently, he's not far from even-money territory to win the event in the outright betting market.

Rory McIlroy - $47 (7-under-par)

The defending champion and three-time winner at East Lake is lurking once again, and McIlroy's exceptional current form includes nine consecutive top-10s dating back to the PGA Championship. Over his last 24 measured rounds, McIlroy is second to none in each of SG: Off-the-Tee, par-4 scoring, Birdies or Better Gained and even P3: 200-225 Efficiency, which is another key metric this week with all four par-3s ranging from 197-235 yards.

Viktor Hovland - $45 (8-under-par)

A $42 Hovland came through for us with the win at Olympia Fields on Sunday, posting possibly the best final-round performance of the season as he recorded a dozen threes and 10 birdies throughout his closing 18 holes in Chicago. His salary now inflates only $3 despite an eight-under Starting Strokes position, so cost isn't a reason to suddenly fade the hot hand. Over his last 24 rounds, Hovland is No. 1 in Prox: 150-175 as well as P4: 450-500 Efficiency.

Xander Schauffele - $39 (3-under-par)

Although the $39 salary might seem like a hefty premium for someone beginning the tournament seven shots back, Schauffele still figures to draw plenty of attention as a horse for the course. He was victorious in his East Lake debut in 2017, and he's placed no worse than T7 in the five editions since. He ranked third in SG: Off-the-Tee on the way to a T8 finish at the BMW Championship last week, and he's second in both Opportunities Gained and P4: 450-500 Efficiency over his past 24 rounds.

Bargain Bin

Collin Morikawa - $23 (1-under-par)

Much of the $25-$38 range figures to go overlooked, especially due to the prevalence of stars and scrubs lineups in a no-cut structure, so that's likely where you'll have to target a couple options in order to really get different in GPPs. But I'll highlight several glaring values near or at the minimum salary in this section, beginning with Morikawa. He's been legitimately awful with the putter in Atlanta the past two years, losing a combined 11.3 strokes putting across his last eight TOUR Championship rounds. However, he's gained strokes with the flat stick in four of his last six outings this summer, and Morikawa's elite driving accuracy is crucial at East Lake. He's second on Tour in both SG: Approach and FIR percentage this season.

Lucas Glover - $21 (5-under-par)

Glover couldn't make it three wins in a row last week at the BMW Championship where his short game finally regressed, but he still ranked sixth among the field in both driving accuracy and SG: Approach at Olympia Fields. He's second to only the aforementioned Scheffler in SG: Ballstriking over his last 24 rounds, a stretch in which Glover also sits second in Opportunities Gained and third in Prox: 175-200 yards. A $21 salary is disrespectful to Glover's ceiling, especially given his five-under start.

Sungjae Im - $20 (2-under-par)

The Atlanta-area resident considers this his home base in the United States, and he was surely able to pay off his new house after tying for second here at East Lake last year when he paced the 2022 TOUR Championship in GIR percentage en route to a $5.75 million payday. Im finished T14-T6-7 from the Wyndham Championship through the BMW Championship in recent weeks, gaining a collective 17.2 strokes from tee to green along the way. He also just put on a bogey-avoidance clinic while leading the field in scrambling at Olympia Fields.

Russell Henley - $20 (3-under-par)

Henley hasn't made an East Lake appearance since tying for third here in 2017, but he's now third in SG: Approach, third in par-4 scoring, fourth in driving accuracy and sixth in Opportunities Gained over his last 24 rounds, which include three straight top-8s from the Wyndham through the BMW Championship. He hit 17 of 18 greens in regulation this past Sunday at Olympia Fields, firing a final-round 63 while gaining more than three strokes with his irons.

Look through the top Sports Betting Apps before the TOUR Championship begins!

Yahoo PGA DFS Picks: TOUR Championship Cash and GPP Strategy

This article is part of our Yahoo PGA DFS Picks series.

TOUR Championship

Atlanta, Georgia East Lake Golf Club - Par 70 - 7,346 yards Field - 30 entrants Purse - $75M

The Preview

Extremely hot and muggy conditions accompany the PGA Tour's late-August voyage to the 2022-23 season's grand finale as East Lake Golf Club once again plays host to the TOUR Championship, inviting those among the top 30 in the FedExCup standings after advancing through the first two legs of the playoffs. East Lake's narrow fairways and penalizing bermuda rough remain the same, so we'll revisit the unique Starting Strokes format that staggers this leaderboard before any shots are even struck.

Yahoo indicates that "scoring for final placement for the Tour Championship will include the weighted scoring when the tournament begins," but the DFS penalty for a starting stroke disparity is less severe the further down the leaderboard you travel. The gap in fantasy points received near the bottom is minuscule, especially with four guaranteed rounds of actual scoring still to be played. The difference between the bonus for a player finishing 11th vs. finishing 30th is worth only three fantasy points, or less than a single birdie over the course of 72 holes. The difference between finishing second and 10th is worth only four fantasy points. Whereas the difference between a golfer finishing in first place vs. fourth place is 17 fantasy points. So, it's as important as ever to roster the eventual champion, but grinding the starting-strokes conundrum near the bottom of the leaderboard doesn't have to be as trivial as it might sound.

Recent Champions

2022 - Rory McIlroy 2021 - Patrick Cantlay 2020 - Dustin Johnson 2019 - Rory McIlroy 2018 - Tiger Woods 2017 - Xander Schauffele 2016 - Rory McIlroy   2015 - Jordan Spieth 2014 - Billy Horschel 2013 - Henrik Stenson

Key Stats to Victory

SG: Approach Driving accuracy Birdie or Better percentage SG: Putting

Yahoo Value Picks

Based on $200 salary cap

Cream of the Crop

Scottie Scheffler - $50 (10-under-par)

This slate would be a lot more interesting and competitively balanced if Scheffler were priced closer to $60, but his projected ownership is monumental at just a $50 salary. Rising to the top spot in the FedExCup standings after a T2 at Olympia Fields last week, Scheffler begins the TOUR Championship at 10-under-par in the Starting Strokes format, as if being the best ball-striker in the world wasn't advantageous enough. Consequently, he's not far from even-money territory to win the event in the outright betting market.

Rory McIlroy - $47 (7-under-par)

The defending champion and three-time winner at East Lake is lurking once again, and McIlroy's exceptional current form includes nine consecutive top-10s dating back to the PGA Championship. Over his last 24 measured rounds, McIlroy is second to none in each of SG: Off-the-Tee, par-4 scoring, Birdies or Better Gained and even P3: 200-225 Efficiency, which is another key metric this week with all four par-3s ranging from 197-235 yards.

Viktor Hovland - $45 (8-under-par)

A $42 Hovland came through for us with the win at Olympia Fields on Sunday, posting possibly the best final-round performance of the season as he recorded a dozen threes and 10 birdies throughout his closing 18 holes in Chicago. His salary now inflates only $3 despite an eight-under Starting Strokes position, so cost isn't a reason to suddenly fade the hot hand. Over his last 24 rounds, Hovland is No. 1 in Prox: 150-175 as well as P4: 450-500 Efficiency.

Xander Schauffele - $39 (3-under-par)

Although the $39 salary might seem like a hefty premium for someone beginning the tournament seven shots back, Schauffele still figures to draw plenty of attention as a horse for the course. He was victorious in his East Lake debut in 2017, and he's placed no worse than T7 in the five editions since. He ranked third in SG: Off-the-Tee on the way to a T8 finish at the BMW Championship last week, and he's second in both Opportunities Gained and P4: 450-500 Efficiency over his past 24 rounds.

Bargain Bin

Collin Morikawa - $23 (1-under-par)

Much of the $25-$38 range figures to go overlooked, especially due to the prevalence of stars and scrubs lineups in a no-cut structure, so that's likely where you'll have to target a couple options in order to really get different in GPPs. But I'll highlight several glaring values near or at the minimum salary in this section, beginning with Morikawa. He's been legitimately awful with the putter in Atlanta the past two years, losing a combined 11.3 strokes putting across his last eight TOUR Championship rounds. However, he's gained strokes with the flat stick in four of his last six outings this summer, and Morikawa's elite driving accuracy is crucial at East Lake. He's second on Tour in both SG: Approach and FIR percentage this season.

Lucas Glover - $21 (5-under-par)

Glover couldn't make it three wins in a row last week at the BMW Championship where his short game finally regressed, but he still ranked sixth among the field in both driving accuracy and SG: Approach at Olympia Fields. He's second to only the aforementioned Scheffler in SG: Ballstriking over his last 24 rounds, a stretch in which Glover also sits second in Opportunities Gained and third in Prox: 175-200 yards. A $21 salary is disrespectful to Glover's ceiling, especially given his five-under start.

Sungjae Im - $20 (2-under-par)

The Atlanta-area resident considers this his home base in the United States, and he was surely able to pay off his new house after tying for second here at East Lake last year when he paced the 2022 TOUR Championship in GIR percentage en route to a $5.75 million payday. Im finished T14-T6-7 from the Wyndham Championship through the BMW Championship in recent weeks, gaining a collective 17.2 strokes from tee to green along the way. He also just put on a bogey-avoidance clinic while leading the field in scrambling at Olympia Fields.

Russell Henley - $20 (3-under-par)

Henley hasn't made an East Lake appearance since tying for third here in 2017, but he's now third in SG: Approach, third in par-4 scoring, fourth in driving accuracy and sixth in Opportunities Gained over his last 24 rounds, which include three straight top-8s from the Wyndham through the BMW Championship. He hit 17 of 18 greens in regulation this past Sunday at Olympia Fields, firing a final-round 63 while gaining more than three strokes with his irons.

Look through the top Sports Betting Apps before the TOUR Championship begins!

12 DFS Golf Picks for the Tour Championship

Daily Fantasy Golf Tips

Take advantage of the data, predictions, and insights from this article to help with your fantasy golf picks for the Tour Championship, and try out our PGA Lineup Optimizer to make more informed player selections for your DFS lineups. All the best this week!

The Tour Championship

Recap from last week’s BMW Championship : We didn’t know exactly what we would be in for last week since the course was new to the PGA Tour, but we ended up with an exciting birdie-fest as some golf analysts predicted would happen with seven players shooting at least -20. Patrick Cantlay and Bryson DeChambeau locked horns at -27 and it took six playoff holes but Cantlay walked away with a birdie on hole 18 to beat DeChambeau in a thriller – congrats to Patrick who now holds the top spot in the FedExCup standings with the victory!

Preview for the Tour Championship : The 2020-2021 PGA Tour season all comes down to this week as the top 30 players in the FedExCup standings qualify to play in the season’s final event, the Tour Championship, at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. The PGA Tour has regularly played its final tournament at East Lake since 2004, although the playoff format wasn’t introduced until 2007. Patrick Reed remains out so the field size is actually just 29 players – he is 30th in the FedExCup standings even despite missing both playoff events. Starting scores play a huge factor this week with Patrick Cantlay starting the tournament at -10 and down the line where the bottom-ranked players in the FedExCup standings begin the event at even par. Winners at the Tour Championship over the past five years include Dustin Johnson in 2020, Rory McIlroy in 2019, Tiger Woods in 2018, Xander Schauffele in 2017, and Rory McIlroy in 2016.

Get in the money more frequently in your PGA DFS contests by utilizing insightful golf analytics and tools .

Tournament purse : The prize money for this year’s event is set at $60M, the winner receives $15M and wins the FedExCup!

Course and key stats : East Lake Golf Club is 7,346 yards in length, is a par 70, and the greens are Bermuda. The winning score at the Tour Championship over the past decade ranges from -8 to -21, so weather certainly plays a big factor based on that wide range. The best score we have seen at the Tour Championship came in 2007 when Tiger Woods shot a -23 which won the tournament by a whopping 8 strokes. The winning score this week will likely be in the range of -12 to -20 depending on weather conditions and how they set up the track. Some of the core key stats to include in your custom models this week in order of importance are strokes gained: approach, strokes gained: off the tee, strokes gained: around the green, strokes gained: putting, and strokes gained: tee to green – approach and off the tee are by far the most important though.

The field : Many of golf’s biggest names are playing this week outside of a few players who failed to get inside the top 30. There will be of course no cut to deal with this week, but the biggest challenge is figuring out how to value the 29 players based on their starting scores, and pricing is all over the place ranging from $5.0K to $13.4K. On a scale ranging from A to D, I rank the field strength to be an A+.

Three questions I have about the Tour Championship this week:

1. Will Patrick Cantlay win? He starts at -10 par but will he be the victor after four rounds of golf – time will tell but he has a huge advantage – two better than his closest competitor which is Tony Finau at -8. McIlroy won two years ago when he started 5 strokes back, so it’s certainly possible we will see another big come-from-behind win again this year.

2. Who will move up the most? There are four players who are starting out at even par this week – Daniel Berger, Sergio Garcia, Billy Horschel, and Erik van Rooyen. You would think that Berger will move up the highest on the leaderboard this week since he is the best overall golfer in the group, but van Rooyen has been hot with a win, a T5, and a T7 over his past four events. One of these four players could finish in the top 10 and provide huge value since this players’ salary range is just $5.0K to $5.8K.

3. Who’s the best value play on the board? You really have to take salary numbers and starting scores into account this week as both have huge ranges. It’s hard to say who will end up being the best value when all is said and done but Sam Burns at $8.5K and starting at -4 seems like a solid play to me considering he was T8 last week, T21 at THE NORTHERN TRUST, and was runner-up at the WGC-FedEx St.Jude Invitational three starts ago, plus he can really quickly rack up the birdies.

Lineup construction strategy this week : It’s a tough week to sort out with the starting scores impacting everything, and the player salaries vary an incredible amount. I think I’ll likely be going in the hybrid direction as I usually do most every week, but will need to study things more as the week progresses. One thing’s for sure though, if you want a unique lineup in big GPPs, then be prepared to leave around $1,000 or more on the table and pay close attention to projected ownership numbers on Wednesday since some players will be likely 40%+ owned since there are only 30 players in action.

All the best in your journey to win or at least be in the money in some contests this week – here are my 12 DFS golf picks which feature my top 3 players from four tiers on DraftKings (DK) in no particular order, plus I include player salaries for DK, as well. I consistently provide recent and seasonal finishes for each of my picks, their performance’s at the event over the last 5 years, and add in some tasty pieces of information and stats, also. 

The $10K+ Range

Patrick Cantlay (Salary: DraftKings – $13.4K) – Starting score: -10. Cantlay has the biggest advantage when it comes to starting score and it will be interesting to see if he can take advantage of it and win the tournament to take the gigantic $15M top prize. He is in this fortunate position since he won last week, he has two other wins on the season, and has been playing quite well since early June. He won last week since he gained an insane 14.5 strokes on the greens – he surely won’t do that again and will need to be better with his approach play and off the tee if he wants to win. If he didn’t start at -10 I likely wouldn’t have selected him this week, but he should place in the top 5 this week if he plays a solid all-around game like he often does. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2019 – T21, 2018 – T21, and 2017 – T20.

Jon Rahm (Salary: DraftKings – $13.0K) – Starting score: -6. Rahm has five straight top 9 finishes including winning the U.S. Open in late June, and he would have won the Memorial Tournament if COVID-19 wasn’t part of our current existence, but unfortunately for Rahm it is and his mandatory withdrawal for testing positive cost him the win. He’s so statistically strong and could have won last week had his around the green game been stronger like it normally is as he lost 2.04 strokes in the stat category. He starts four strokes back of Cantlay, but he could close that gap in a hurry since he’s the best ball-striker in the world now, and that’s exactly the type of player who succeeds at East Lake. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – T4, 2019 – T12, 2018 – T11, and 2017 – T7.

Bryson DeChambeau (Salary: DraftKings – $12.3K) – Starting score: -7. He’s the best off the tee player that the PGA Tour has and he can really use that to his advantage this week since it’s the second most important key stat that matters at East Lake. He lost in the big playoff last week to Cantlay to finish runner-up, finished T8 at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational in early August, and has two wins on the season including the U.S. Open last September. If he rides another hot putter this week then he will fare very well this week – he gained 9.36 strokes on the field on the greens last week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – T22, 2019 – T12, and 2018 – T19.

$8K to $9.9K Range

Rory McIlroy (Salary: DraftKings – $9.3K) – Starting score: -2. He’s typically higher in the FedExCup standings to have a more favorable starting position at the Tour Championship, but he has played extremely well on this course and should make some noise again this week. He finished T4 last week and gained in all major stat categories except for losing 0.25 strokes in approach, but assuming he rebounds there, he should be a factor this week to finish top 10. He won the Wells Fargo Championship in mid-May, has three top 7’s since then, and has won here twice in the last five years so you shouldn’t sleep on him this week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – T8, 2019 – Won , 2018 – T7, and 2016 – Won.

Sam Burns (Salary: DraftKings – $8.5K) – Starting score: -4. Burns is seeing East Lake for the first time, but don’t let that fact scare you off since he has been playing so well as of late, and recent form matters more than anything else. He had an 8th last week, finished T2 at the WGC event just three starts ago, he won the Valspar nine starts ago and finished runner-up directly after that win. He plays a fairly balanced game and if he can get his approach game back in fine shape for this week, then he should be a great mid-tier value play. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: None.

Xander Schauffele (Salary: DraftKings – $8.9K) – Starting score: -2. Schauffele has the best finishes at this tournament over the past four years including his win four years ago, but he will need to be extra remarkable this year to keep his top 7 streak alive since he starts eight strokes back of the lead. He hasn’t been very impressive since winning the Olympic Mens Golf Competition in Japan, but he excels in small fields and could be saving his best for last this week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – T2, 2019 – 2nd, 2018 – T7, and 2017 – Won .

$6K to $7.9K Range

Sungjae Im (Salary: DraftKings – $7.3K) – Starting score: -3. I haven’t been on Im too much this season, and for good reason, but I’m liking what I’m seeing from him lately when it comes to his ball-striking, and he gained over 6 strokes putting last week, so if the putter stays hot again this week he should move up the leaderboard from his starting position. He finished 3rd last week and had a T16 at THE NORTHERN TRUST, so his playoff events have been going superb for him so far and that could continue again this week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – T11 and 2019 – T19.

Brooks Koepka (Salary: DraftKings – $7.8K) – Starting score: -2. Koepka has lost his momentum since having four top 6’s in five events prior to the WGC event in early August. So why do I like him this week? Because he plays his best at the biggest events, and there’s a ton on the line this week with $60M in FedExCup money to be won, and he has been striking the ball well for quite some time now. If his approach game bounces back and he can find some strokes with the putter, then he can make up ground in a hurry. He finished T3 here two years ago as well, so he knows how to play this track. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2019 – T3, 2018 – T26, and 2017 – T6.

Scottie Scheffler (Salary: DraftKings – $6.8K) – Starting score – 1. He hasn’t had the playoff that he originally envisioned so far, but did have three top 8’s in five events heading into the playoffs, so he always has the potential to finish well, especially in big tournaments including three straight top 8’s at the most recent majors. He has gained strokes in ball-striking in 17 straight tournaments that used shot tracker technology, and if only his putter heats up again then he should do well this week. He moved nicely up the leaderboard last year to finish 5th, and while he most likely won’t finish in the top 5 again this year, he can still deliver decent value to your lineups this week based on his low salary number. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – 5th.

The $5K Range

Daniel Berger (Salary: DraftKings – $5.8K) – Starting score: Even par. We sure aren’t used to seeing $5K players on DK, but this week is the exception thanks to the starting stroke factor. Approach play is the most important key stat for success at East Lake, and Berger brings it in spades – in fact, he has gained strokes in 14 straight tournaments and it’s likely 15 since The Open Championship doesn’t have shot tracker tech in place and he finished 8th there. The only thing holding Berger back from success in the playoffs is his putter as he has lost 9 strokes between both of the playoff events, so far. Prior to the playoffs, he had three top 8’s in four starts, and you’re getting a heck of a player under $6K this week in Berger. Interestingly enough, he has three straight T15 finishes at this tournament, and if he finishes T15 once again, then you’re getting decent bang for your buck since he’s the 6th cheapest player this week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2020 – T15, 2017 – T15, and 2016 – T15.

Erik van Rooyen (Salary: DraftKings – $7.8K) – Starting score: Even par. He’s the cheapest player on DK this week but yet has been one of the best so far in the playoffs with a 7th place finish at THE NORTHERN TRUST, he was 5th last week, and he won four starts ago at the Barracuda Championship which seemed to steer him in the right direction for the playoffs. He has been statistically strong throughout his bag over his past four tournaments played, and if that holds firm again this week then he could end up being one of the best value picks of the week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: None.

Sergio Garcia (Salary: DraftKings – $7.6K) – Starting score: Even par. He needed a high finish last week to get into the field this week and Garcia came through with a T6 at the BMW Championship to qualify for the season’s final event. His putter usually lets him down but he gained over 5 strokes with the flat stick last week, and gained almost 5 strokes ball-striking to earn him his high finish. Before getting cut at the first playoff event he had five straight top 26 finishes, and is an intriguing low-cost play this week. Tour Championship finishes over the last five years: 2017 – T10.

Results of the 15 players I picked for last week’s the BMW Championship

The 10K+ Range

• Jon Rahm – T9
• Justin Thomas – T22
• Xander Schauffele – T49

The $9K Range

• Cameron Smith – T34
• Tony Finau – T15
• Patrick Cantlay – Won

The $8K Range

• Corey Conners – T22
• Paul Casey – T38
• Harris English – T26

The $7K Range

• Shane Lowry – T26
• Russell Henley – T60
• Kevin Na – T17

The $6K Range

• Sebastian Munoz – T29
• Keith Mitchell – T57
• Talor Gooch – T57

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FedEx St. Jude Championship DFS picks 2024: These signs point to Collin Morikawa

A fter a weather-delayed, frenetic race to the finish at the Wyndham Championship, the PGA Tour heads to Memphis for the first leg of the FedEx Cup playoffs. The FedEx St. Jude Championship has undergone a number of structural changes over the years, and this will be its third year as the FedEx Cup opener. The field has been shortened to just 70 players, and the event will no longer feature a cut. At week’s end, the top 50 in the FedEx Cup standings will advance to the BMW Championship and continue their season at Castle Pines in Colorado.

TPC Southwind is the host venue this week, and the Ron Pritchard design is a standard par 72, measuring 7,233 yards on the scorecard. It features Bermudagrass greens and rough, and typically ranks in the middle of the pack in scoring difficulty. Players will need to avoid water hazards off the tee and control their middle irons into small greens, and it has traditionally been a golf course that has played into the hands of elite iron players. The last two champions, Will Zalatoris and Lucas Glover, both entered the event in excellent approach form, and I would expect that trend to continue this week. Let’s dive into the slate.

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Despite a disappointing 24th-place finish at the Olympics, Collin Morikawa is coming off his best approach performance of the season at Le Golf National. The two-time major winner has now gained over six strokes on approach in back-to-back starts, and we are beginning to see peak Morikawa iron play once again. Now he travels to a golf course where he has finished top 15 in his past two appearances, and which heavily accentuates accuracy and middle iron play. This is the perfect venue for Morikawa to capture his first victory of 2024.

David Cannon

While the $10,000 range is filled with all excellent options, Ludvig Aberg is my least favorite of the bunch. Aberg will be making his first appearance at TPC Southwind, and he is coming off an 18th-place finish at the Olympics where he lost strokes in all categories outside of approach play. Ludvig’s greatest weapon, his driver, has not been producing at typical levels, which is enough reason for me to favor other options at the top of the board.

Pedro Salado

While ultimately coming up just short to Lucas Glover in a playoff last year, TPC Southwind has been a great spot for Patrick Cantlay. Always at his best in the FedEx Cup playoffs, Cantlay has been rounding into form over his last few tournaments. The 32-year-old is coming off a top-25 finish at the Open Championship where he gained over eight strokes ball-striking, and prior to that, he recorded back-to-back top-fives at the U.S. Open and Travelers Championship. I expect Cantlay to continue his strong play in the FedEx Cup playoffs.

I love Corey Conners’ fit at TPC Southwind, but I have a difficult time justifying this price tag. I expected Conners to fit nicely into the $8,000 range this week, but this is a rather hefty step up in class. I’m not sold on Conners’ win equity in this field, and I would rather anchor my lineup with players that possess more high-end upside.

RELATED:  Jim Nantz delivered the perfect dig at Matt Kuchar's controversial decision

Watch the below video for our favorite bets and players we're fading for the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship:

Andrew Redington

Recent approach play is a huge indicator of success at TPC Southwind, and Tom Kim is coming off an eighth-place finish at the Olympics where he gained 7.9 strokes on approach. Now Kim returns to a golf course where he has finished top-25 in his last two appearances, and he has already recorded a victory on similarly Southeastern Bermuda course at the Wyndham Championship.

While Justin Thomas boasts incredibly strong course history at TPC Southwind, he has been a difficult man to trust in 2024. While there have been flashes of brilliance, Thomas still remains an incredibly unreliable driver of the ball and a below average putter. Ranking nearly dead last in this field in driving accuracy, I worry about the two-time major winner’s ability to avoid the big number at TPC Southwind.

Warren Little

I always have interest in Sepp Straka on golf courses with a high missed fairway penalty that heavily emphasize middle iron approach play, and TPC Southwind falls firmly in that bucket. Straka lost in a playoff at TPC Southwind in 2022, and he is coming off a performance at the Olympics where he gained over five strokes on approach.

After a banner year in 2023, Max Homa has regressed significantly this year and has failed to contend since the Masters. Much of Homa’s issues this year have been due to shaky driving accuracy and overall approach play, two skills that are heavily accentuated at TPC Southwind. Until Homa displays more consistent ball-striking, this is an easy pass.

Kevin C. Cox

Ben Griffin was a key piece to our success last week at the Wyndham Championship, and after he gained over eight strokes on approach en route to a top-10 finish, I see no reason to hop off now. Similar to Sedgefield, TPC Southwind also heavily accentuates middle iron play and features similar agronomy. Outside of his great approach, Ben Griffin also ranks first in this field in pure Bermudagrass putting over the past three years.

RELATED:  Matt Kuchar's bizarre one-man Monday finish at the Wyndham is only more perplexing a day later

Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts!  

Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for Run Pure Sports, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digest’s betting panel after previously writing for RickRunGood.com, the Score and GolfWRX. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports

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POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Daily fantasy golf draftkings picks (pga dfs): tour championship.

Welcome back, RotoBallers! What a tournament we had at the BMW Championship, as Jon Rahm stormed his way up the leaderboard on the weekend to defeat Dustin Johnson in a playoff. It was a chaotic finish from the duo down the stretch, with the American connecting on a 43-foot birdie putt on the 72nd hole to force a playoff - only to be outdone by Rahm, who drained a 66-footer of his own during the first hole of sudden death.

As far as DraftKings is concerned, we had some massive win totals posted by various readers of this article because of the condensed core we discussed that featured the likes of Rahm, Hideki Matsuyama, Jason Kokrak and Brian Harman. Be sure to send me your winning screenshots to get featured in this article moving forward, and congratulations to everyone that hit it big last weekend in Illinois!

I take great pride in the research and energy I put into my selections from a mathematical standpoint, but my numbers or information aren't always the law. If you have any questions about a particular player from a PGA DFS or PGA betting perspective, please feel free to contact me on Twitter @Teeoffsports . Many golfers barely miss out on being mentioned here by fractions of a percent, and I am more than happy to discuss my feelings or stance on anyone that may have caught your eye. Like always, the purpose of this piece is to help you put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups for DraftKings, whether that be from a GPP perspective or a cash-game mentality. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly  PGA DFS articles  to help you win big!

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Tour Championship

We have a special treat for all you RotoBallers and golf enthusiasts. In addition to this article, be sure to also check out Spencer's PGA DFS Rankings Wizard -  a powerful and interactive data spreadsheet, allowing user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you would like to create your own spreadsheet, you will need to make a copy under "file, make a copy." We hope you enjoy!

Tour Championship - PGA DFS Overview

7,350 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bermuda

The staggered starting positions for the Tour Championship will give us a unique format to dissect, but I do think it is important to remember that players starting 10-back of the lead will have their hands full to actually capture the title. East Lake isn't a course where you can pick up strokes in bunches, which is evident by the winning score (non-bonus starting amount) typically ending at around 12 to 13-under par. Golfers beginning the event from way behind will need multiple facets to come in properly if they want to make a run for the riches, and I think it is essential to start your builds with as many players near the top as possible. That doesn't mean we won't need to connect on the lower-priced options down the board, but it does suggest that a more stars-and-scrubs nature should be taken since we need to make sure we pinpoint the winner for the finale.

East Lake is a challenging test that will make sure everyone earns their payday. The par-fours at the property are long, and it is essential to keep a clean scorecard until you have an opportunity to strike. Those edges typically come on the two par-fives - which each yield over a 40 percent birdie rate to go along with a small chance for eagle. Rory McIlroy gained nearly 53% of his scoring total at those two locations in 2019, making it a must-have place to pick up strokes on the field.

The greens feature Bermuda grass with shaved runoffs, and it will be important to miss shots in the correct quadrant. Golfers who do ultimately end up missing their targets will need to be able to gain strokes around the green, and there are 74 bunkers and six water hazards at the venue. Perhaps more so than most weeks, we also need to look at mental fortitude. With 15 million dollars on the line, there is going to be no room for error to wilt under the pressure.

Let's Look At The Stats

In Vegas, as of Monday, Dustin Johnson leads the way at 8/5 and is followed by Jon Rahm at 3/1, Justin Thomas at 6/1 and Webb Simpson at 14/1. Rory McIlroy, the defending champion of this event, enters the week seven-back and at a price tag of 25/1.

• Strokes Gained Approach 20%
• Par-Five Birdie or Better 17.5%
• Ball Striking 17.5%
• Proximity 175+ Yards 12.5%
• Par-Four + Bogey Avoidance 12.5%
• Strokes Gained Around the Green 10%
• Sand Save Percentage 10%

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools and DFS advice . Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

There are six players this week priced above $10,000:

Dustin Johnson ($15,200)

Will Dustin Johnson be able to run and hide at East Lake? That is the question that could earn him 15 million dollars. The American doesn't have the best course history with two finishes outside the top-15 in the last five years, but he does have three top-sixes thrown into the mix. Johnson's range is wider than most consider, and while he could go wire-to-wire for a runaway victory, there are 80s in his arsenal that could ruin his chances. You have to take a stance somewhere to win these small-field events, and I'll be fading Johnson and hoping for the best.

Jon Rahm ($12,700)

A strong argument can be made that Jon Rahm possesses value at his $12,700 price tag on DraftKings. I'm much more inclined to splurge on the Spaniard at a reduction of $2,500 from DJ, and I think his upside for victory/overall level of consistency should have him in the mix late on Sunday.

Justin Thomas ($11,900)

It is the Tour Championship; let's take a firm stance in this article. Justin Thomas will be your winner of the FedExCup playoffs. Thomas starts just three shots back of Dustin Johnson and gets a $3,300 discount for his troubles on DraftKings. The American is the top-ranked player in the world when it comes to par-five scoring, and I'd expect him to make a similar move that we saw Rory McIlroy do last season of earning nearly 54% of his strokes on these more accessible holes. If he can follow that blueprint, expect Thomas to have a chance to be the man you want to own for the week.

Webb Simpson ($11,100)

Webb Simpson doesn't look so crazy anymore by only losing what amounted to one shot after skipping the BMW Championship. The extra rest could provide wonders for the 35-year-old, but he is going to need to improve his par-five scoring to catch the leaders. Simpson has become a more volatile golfer in 2020, so I am not discounting that we see him chase down the group above him and walk out of Atlanta $15,000,000 richer.

Collin Morikawa ($10,400), Bryson DeChambeau ($10,100)

We have an extremely interesting group here to wrap up the $10,000 and above range. I view both golfers as GPP-only options because of their volatility, but they provide the upside needed to catch the leaders if they can get hot. Neither is grading out as value for me on the surface, but that doesn't mean we don't see one (or both) light up Atlanta and make a run for the title.

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Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using promo code  TEEOFF  when purchasing a  PGA Premium Pass . You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Rory mcilroy ($9,700).

We might have to stomach the possibility that Rory McIlroy could burn us and ignore the Irishman. McIlroy has already stated that his child's birth takes top priority, and the possibility of him withdrawing from the event becomes even more amplified with him beginning the week seven shots back. The 31-year-old has name value baked into this price tag, and I'd prefer to pay incorrectly for a player like DeChambeau if I am shooting for upside.

Hideki Matsuyama ($9,300)

I can't help but feel like Hideki Matsuyama missed his chance of ending his winless drought at the BMW Championship. The Japanese sensation looked wild off the tee over the weekend, culminating in him falling just two shots short of the playoff. The 20th-ranked player in the world will always grade out well statistically, but it is hard for me to ignore what might happen if his par saves stop dropping from six feet.

Daniel Berger ($9,100)

Daniel Berger is going to be popular. It is difficult to say how popular compared to his counterparts, but I think strong evidence states that he will be the most played option on the board. That doesn't necessarily help with deciding what to do with him for the week, but I do believe Berger will outperform his DraftKings price that ranks him as the ninth overall player. I'm not sure we ultimately get a victory out of the American, but it is tricky to ignore the rebated cost.

Xander Schauffele ($8,900)

If Daniel Berger or Dustin Johnson don't end up being the most owned golfer, my money would be on Xander Schauffele. The 26-year-old is a superb player in no-cut events because of his aptitude to usually provide one upper-echelon round per week, and we are going to need an aberrational day or two from anyone this far down the board if they want a legitimate chance to find the winner's circle. Schauffele provides just that at a reasonable cost.

Harris English ($8,700)

To me, Harris English is a cash-game only type of play. His lack of upside has reduced his salary to $8,700, but it isn't easy to be overly encouraged about his chances to generate the amount of upside needed to take down a GPP event.

Patrick Reed ($8,500)

East Lake has proven to be a headache for Patrick Reed in the past. Given a six-under start here last season, Reed only could muster a ninth-place result, and he has failed to crack the top-23 in three of his additional four starts since 2015.

Tony Finau ($8,200)

You are paying up marginally for Tony Finau's birdie-making skills and name recognition, but you won't hear any massive gripes from me if you do decide to go down this route. Finau may slip into some of my builds because of how I plan to create my core, but I do recognize that he is going to be a trendy choice.

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

Scottie scheffler ($7,900).

I had Scottie Scheffler rated better before making some minor adjustments to my model, but the rookie is still grading out as someone reasonably priced on DraftKings for the Tour Championship. Scheffler's ability to score in bunches will make him a popular selection, and that is all you can ask for when trying to build a unique construction

Brendon Todd ($7,600)

I continue to be underweight to Brendon Todd because of the lack of weight I put into short game figures, and I feel as if his lack of consistency with his irons will eventually catch up to him. It might not be this weekend at East Lake, but Todd's approach numbers are virtually dead last in the field across the board from each range.

Sungjae Im ($7,300)

It is hard to be overly encouraged by the current stretch we have seen from Sungjae Im, but there is a disparity present if we decide to cling onto the lowest priced option by $1,400 of the four-under par golfers. I'm not going to have my week decided on the South Korean deciding to show up for the final event of the 2020 season, but I also don't think it hurts to sneak him into a few GPP lineups here and there.

Tyrell Hatton ($7,000)

We got our second straight quality outing from Tyrrell Hatton at the BMW Championship, who seems to be trending back towards the early-season form that saw him generate four top-sixes in four events. We aren't quite back to that level of production, but Hatton is beginning to peak again at the right time.

Kevin Kisner ($6,800)

Kevin Kisner provided his fifth straight top-25 result at the BMW Championship. That level of form shouldn't be ignored, but it will come at a cost. The American will be an extremely popular choice, and I believe his plodding nature reduces the upside some are expecting him to generate.

Viktor Hovland ($6,600)

What should we expect during Viktor Hovland's first crack at the Tour Championship? Recent form would suggest less than some might be anticipating, but the Danish golfer will get a chance to fire freely starting this event at even par. Perhaps too much of the upside is already baked into the pricing, but Hovland has the game to make birdies at will when he gets hot.

Joaquin Niemann ($6,300)

In my opinion, Joaquin Niemann is mispriced at $6,300 and should be closer to $7,000 for the event. There aren't many players in the world who can catch fire quite as well as the Chilean does, and taking the stroke advantage over some of his counterparts in this range might play a factor down the stretch.

Abraham Ancer ($6,100)

Unfortunately, Abraham Ancer's season never quite got back on track after his two-week break between the Travelers Championship and the Memorial. I don't entirely trust his around the green game to perform at the level needed to climb up the leaderboard, and I most likely will find myself underweight to the field.

Sebastian Munoz ($5,900)

Sebastian Munoz's three-under par starting total makes him a much more intriguing prospect than we would otherwise have gotten if he was starting at even-par, but I don't want to place too much value on it a number that is still seven shots off the lead. Munoz is presumably value in a vacuum, but his upside isn't enough to warrant a ton of GPP consideration. That makes me like him more for cash games, but I'm still not necessarily jumping for joy with that either.

Billy Horschel ($5,700)

Billy Horschel's second-place showing here in 2018 mixed with his current form will likely make him the most owned option under $6,000. I originally planned on the idea that the Florida native would be a possibility worth considering at the right price, but I'm not sure $5,700 is that number. Frankly, there are just choices I like better down this low, and the popularity of the 33-year-old is a bit of a turn off.

Lanto Griffin ($5,600)

It is good to see that DraftKings undervalued Lanto Griffin to end the season once again. If nothing else, they have been consistent. Griffin is the lowest priced player at two-under par by $700 under Joaquin Niemann, and while I do believe he is the weakest play of the group, he isn't as far off as some might imagine. Griffin has legitimate upside to blow past his starting price and is my biggest mispricing on the board.

Kevin Na ($5,500)

Kevin Na probably has the weakest course history of anyone that has competed in this event once since 2015. The 36-year-old has failed to crack the top-16, and his previous two showings have resulted in finishes outside the top-24.

Ryan Palmer ($5,400)

There is never a guarantee for what you will get with Ryan Palmer, but it does help the situation when you can acquire him inside the bottom 15 percent of selections on the board. Palmer has the ability to use his par-five scoring ability to make a run up the leaderboard, and I don't believe a top-15 showing is out of the cards for the Texan.

Cameron Champ ($5,300)

Which version of Cameron Champ will we get at the Tour Championship? If it is the one we got during the PGA Championship, we might be onto something at his $5,300 price tag. Champ's length could be a positive for him if he gets hot, although his shoddy around the green totals quickly start to disparage any hope of him making a run. For whatever upside you think the American might have, there is also a world where he comes in dead last for the week. The risk is up to you.

Mackenzie Hughes ($5,200)

Good on Mackenzie Hughes for his up-and-down from the bunker on the 72nd hole to qualify for the finale.  That result gives him a career-changing outcome, but I am afraid the feel-good story will end there this season.

Cameron Smith ($5,100)

If your goal is to shoot for the fence and hope for the best, Cameron Smith might be your best option under Ryan Palmer. The Aussie has yielded back-to-back top-20 results, and we do seem to be in a situation where he has done it so quietly that he will go off as one of the lowest owned plays on the board.

Marc Leishman ($5,000)

What has happened to Marc Leishman's game? Crazier things have occurred in life, but the Aussie is coming into the week after shooting a tournament-worst 30-over par at the BMW Championship. Even as contrarian as I tend to be, I can't condone going down that path with someone who is clearly struggling past the point of what is being shown on paper.

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Rashod bateman 23 hours ago, drew lock 23 hours ago, marshawn lloyd 23 hours ago, serghei spivac 23 hours ago, marquise brown 23 hours ago, odell beckham jr. 23 hours ago, nikolay veretennikov 23 hours ago, xavier legette 23 hours ago, danny barlow 24 hours ago, chelsea chandler 24 hours ago, caleb martin 1 day ago, malik nabers 1 day ago, reggie jackson 1 day ago, kristaps porzingis 1 day ago, dennis schröder 1 day ago, tyrese haliburton 1 day ago, joe mixon 2 days ago, dak prescott 2 days ago, las vegas raiders 2 days ago, yana santos 2 days ago, quang le 2 days ago, chris gutierrez 2 days ago, damon jackson 2 days ago, chepe mariscal 2 days ago, walker kessler 2 days ago, ricky stenhouse jr 2 days ago, zane smith 2 days ago, tyler reddick 2 days ago, kyle larson 2 days ago, corey lajoie 2 days ago, carson hocevar 2 days ago, noah gragson 2 days ago, ty gibbs 2 days ago, chase elliott 2 days ago, austin cindric 2 days ago, william byron 2 days ago, christopher bell 2 days ago, denny hamlin 2 days ago, serghei spivac 4 days ago, marcin tybura 4 days ago, nikolay veretennikov 4 days ago, danny barlow 4 days ago, chelsea chandler 4 days ago, jonathan kuminga 4 days ago, bogdan bogdanovic 4 days ago, nikola jokic 4 days ago, joel embiid 4 days ago, lebron james 4 days ago, stephen curry 4 days ago, yana santos 5 days ago, quang le 5 days ago, chris gutierrez 5 days ago, damon jackson 5 days ago, chepe mariscal 5 days ago.

Josh Giddey 5 days ago

Lonzo ball 5 days ago, malachi flynn 5 days ago, lauri markkanen 6 days ago.

WAS 6 days ago

Tor 6 days ago, leon draisaitl 6 days ago, shane wright 6 days ago, col 6 days ago.

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Points and payouts: Aaron Rai picks up $1.4M, 500 FedExCup points at Wyndham Championship

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Golf’s Longest Day has a contender. It was the Sunday of the Wyndham Championship during which the second, third and final rounds all concluded. Well, almost, but even Golf’s Longest Day aka 36-hole U.S. Open Final Qualifying spills into the next day on occasion.

Before diving into the impact of the results, a standing ovation is necessary for the maintenance crew, tournament officials and all other personnel directly impacted by the weather that canceled all of Thursday’s scheduled opening round. They also were responsible in giving the full field of 156 the window to complete 72 holes and with a traditional cut by Sunday, and by extension all bettors the chance to cash in on the competition. It was incredible work that revealed the experience and leadership required to fulfill the objective and with the FedExCup Playoffs looming for many who competed at Sedgefield Country Club.

Now, remain standing for Aaron Rai’s signature moment on the PGA TOUR, for he is a champion on the circuit for the first time.

With a bogey-free, 6-under 64 in the final round on a day with dawn-to-dusk action for all, the Englishman posted 18-under 262 to prevail by two strokes. While impressive, it also was not a surprise, and that muted his kickback as he was just +3000 to win pre-tournament at BetMGM. He had been contending so often in recent months that those odds were properly respectful.

Rai banks 500 FedExCup points and $1,422,000 for the title. He’s also now exempt into the 2025 editions of The Sentry, THE PLAYERS Championship, the Masters and the PGA Championship. He’ll be making debuts at the Plantation Course at Kapalua and Augusta National for the first and third events of that set. He will play out of the winners category on the PGA TOUR through at least 2026.

Max Greyserman also was in the last threesome, but the PGA TOUR rookie was the 54-hole leader on a zany Sunday. Like Kuchar, who finished T3 at the 3M Open in his previous start, Greyserman was on the bounce of a solo second at TPC Twin Cities, so he also was “only” +8000, relatively short given his inexperience at this level. Alas, he snatched defeat from the jaws of victory with a wild stretch coming home in the final round. After holing out for eagle from 91 yards at the par-4 13th, he hit his drive out of bounds on the par-4 14th en route to an 8. A gut-check birdie-4 at the 15th followed, but he then three-putted from 40 inches for double bogey at the par-3 16th. He settled for another solo second.

Fellow rookie Ryo Hisatsune (+15000) and resurgent J.J. Spaun (+8000) shared third another shot back.

Tournament favorite Sungjae Im (+1200) didn’t make any noise for a T41, while defending champion Lucas Glover (+10000) missed the cut by five strokes.

NOTE: Points and Payouts cites pre-tournament odds to win at BetMGM for all golfers who made the cut. For live odds, visit BetMGM .

For resources to overcome a gambling problem, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER today.

Rob Bolton is a Golfbet columnist for the PGA TOUR. The Chicagoland native has been playing fantasy golf since 1994, so he was just waiting for the Internet to catch up with him. Follow Rob Bolton on Twitter .

Wyndham Championship

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Tour Championship picks 2023: Sungjae Im is ready to peak

Well, we made it to the very end, folks, and we made sure to get at least one more winner for you before we call it a season. Shoutout to our anonymous caddie picker of the week, who correctly predicted Viktor Hovland's stunning victory at the BMW Championship.

More from Golf Digest

Do we have one more in us? We think so, though with the wonky, starting strokes format, it's a bit harder to hit a proper outright this week. Unless, of course, you explore the "winner without"-type markets, which is just what our panel did for the Tour Championship at East Lake.

Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Tour Championship.

RELATED: Who’s in, who’s out and where they stand at the 2023 Tour Championship

Tour Championship picks 2023: Our Experts’ Outright Predictions

Anonymous Caddie Picker of the week : Rory McIlroy (+330, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — Rory admitted he “found” something on the back nine at the BMW, which is scary for the rest of the field, considering how much he tears up East Lake and how elite his ball-striking has been lately.

Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst : Sungjae Im (35-1, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — After going MIA for a few months upon his return from winning in Korea, Sungjae is almost all the way back to top form. He’s had consecutive top 10s in the playoffs and now gets a course perfectly suited to his skill in East lake, an accuracy-based, Bermudagrass, Donald Ross design.

Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor : Patrick Cantlay (10-1, winner without Scottie Scheffler, FanDuel) — Cantlay starts at four under, which means he’s four off of Hovland, and he can make up that gap. Cantlay trails just Scheffler and Rory in terms of strokes-gained/tee-to-green over the past 50 rounds, per datagolf, and is due for some positive putting regression soon.

Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder : Rory McIlroy (+330, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — McIlroy has gained at least eight strokes to the field in each of his last nine starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Now he’ll earn the benefit of starting just three shots off the lead and also boxing out the vast majority of the field from overtaking him. His record around East Lake is unmatched, gaining 1.44 strokes per round over 36 rounds. This is a perfect storm setting up for McIlroy to win his fourth FedEx Cup.

Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. managing editor : Sungjae Im (35-1, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — Sungjae finished runner-up here last year, and given the hot ball-striking—gaining more than seven strokes on the weekend at Olympia Fields—he enters this week with as much confidence as he’s probably had in awhile.

Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer : Sungjae Im (35-1, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — Starting at two under, eight off the lead of Scottie Scheffler, Im will be full speed ahead when he arrives at East Lake, something he’s become accustomed to at the Tour Championship. Last year, after starting at four under, Im when 16 under cumulative, which was only one shot shy of winner Rory McIlroy in both the 72-hole cumulative format and the starting strokes format. Couple that with the fact that Im’s finally heating up again, having posted back-to-back top 10s in the playoffs, and I like his chances to take it deep every day and “win” the tournament within the tournament this week.

Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast : Russell Henley (35-1, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — Considering I feel strongly that Scottie Scheffler is going to run away with the actual FedEx Cup, let’s turn our attention to hunting for value in the “without” market. Henley just put together his third top-10 finish in a row at the BMW Championship, where he finished second in an elite field to only Scheffler in strokes-gained/tee-to-green. The Georgia alum now travels to a golf course in East Lake that should be far better suited for his game than Olympia Fields.

Past results: As we head into the final week of the season, the panel remains as hot as ever, with 14 outright victories on the year as a group. Our anonymous caddie is the latest to hit a winner, cashing on Viktor Hovland at the BMW at 16-1. Stephen Hennessey also recently nailed Lucas Glover’s Wyndham Championship victory at 80-1 (!), while Pat Mayo picked up his first win of the season with Rickie Fowler’s comeback win at the Rocket Mortgage at 14-1. Rick Gehman was on Fowler, too, giving him two outright hits on the year. Brandon Gdula leads the way with SIX of his own, his last coming in the U.S. Open where Gdula touted Wyndham Clark at 85-1 (!!).

Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (below) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts!

Tour Championship picks 2023: Sleepers/Dark Horses Who Could Win

Caddie: Brian Harman (50-1, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — This is no fluke of a season from Brian. He is an absolute grinder and last week proved he can contend on any type of golf course right now.

Mayo: Lucas Glover (55-1, winner without starting strokes, Bet365) — He wins two weeks in a row, has a poor putting week at the BMW and now his odds are double what they were last week in a much smaller field. The Glove still gained four strokes on approach last week, and East Lake suits his game much more.

Gdula: Tommy Fleetwood (35-1, winner without Scottie Scheffler, FanDuel) — This is a pretty solid number for Fleetwood, who starts three under. That puts him five off the lead and four off of McIlroy and three off of Rahm, but he can go low and has the irons dialed in.

Gehman: Brian Harman (50-1, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — Harman’s season has been sensational and his recent form offers plenty of reason to be optimistic. He’s earned five top-12 finishes in his last six starts, which also includes a win at the Open and a runner-up during that stretch. It’ll be difficult for him to win, starting at four under, but he’s a likely candidate to fly up the leaderboard.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Max Homa (35-1, winner with starting strokes, Caesars Sportsbook) — I’m with CP here … Homa has proven that he thrives when he’s in contention, and if he cards a low one in round one or two, he’ll be right there. He’s got nothing to lose, which is a dangerous thing in this format, as we’ve seen with guys making up big deficits in the past.

Powers, Golf Digest: Max Homa (35-1, winner with starting strokes, Caesars Sportsbook) — Yes, he’s six back, but he has four rounds to make it up. Viktor Hovland made up a seven-shot deficit in just two rounds last week. We know Homa can go mega-low, doing so last year here at East Lake, shooting a second-round 62 and backing it up with two 66s to finish just four back of McIlroy (solo third in cumulative scoring).

Lack: Tony Finau (60-1, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — This might be wishful thinking, but I still believe a Ryder Cup spot is up for grabs this week for whoever plays the best out of Lucas Glover, Sam Burns, Keegan Bradley, Russell Henley, and Tony Finau. The six-time PGA Tour winner is still the class of that group if we take long-term form into the equation, although he has not been playing like it recently. If he's got anything left in the tank this season however, East Lake is the type of golf course that should accentuate what he does best. It's been a frustrating couple of months for a player that still somehow ranks in the top 12 in the world in true strokes-gained over the last 12 months. Let's give him one more shot to revert back to his long-term baseline.

RELATED: Brendon Todd just broke the most boring PGA Tour record imaginable

Tour Championship picks 2023: Players We’re Fading

Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (+130, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — I expect Scheffler to be there until the very end. He’ll bounce right back after last week. But when it comes down to the last few holes, there’s a mountain of evidence that proves his putting stroke is in a weird place right now.

Mayo: Jon Rahm (+800, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — Game has slipped in the past few months. Will still win player of the year if you can find good odds on him in that market, though.

Gdula: Jon Rahm (+850, winner without starting strokes, FanDuel) — Starting at six under, Rahm is within striking distance but is still overvalued. He should be more in the 10-1 to 12-1 range.

Gehman: Patrick Cantlay (16-1, with starting strokes, DraftKings) — Despite a FedEx Cup win in 2021, Cantlay’s record around East Lake is pretty scary. He’s never gained strokes putting in five trips and has given back a total of 21.07 strokes on the greens in those 20 rounds. His position on the leaderboard, six shots off the lead, will be a significant uphill battle and even more so when you look at the names at the top of the board that he would have to surpass.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Scottie Scheffler (+130, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — I’d personally love to see Scheffler get it done, given his historic ball-striking season has only been paid off with a few victories. But the young Texan has lost almost a stroke per round putting at East Lake in his prior 12 rounds. This price is just silly and proof of why this format doesn’t work .

Powers, Golf Digest: Scottie Scheffler (+130, winner with starting strokes, DraftKings) — Faded him last week and almost looked like a fool, but felt better about it when he, not surprisingly, missed a couple of crucial late putts that would have gotten him over the line. There’s no question he’ll be there until the very end this week with a two-shot lead, but can you really trust that putter at +130? CrazyTown.

Lack: Jon Rahm (+800, winner without starting strokes, DraftKings) — I’m not ready to sound the alarm bells yet, but something is up with Jon Rahm’s driver. It’s now been back-to-back starts where the Spaniard’s greatest weapon has not been remotely up to his usual standards. It’s always cause for concern when a player’s greatest strength turns into a weakness, and while it could flip at any moment, Rahm’s recent off the tee play is cause for concern.

RELATED: Tour Championship DFS picks 2023: Keep riding Rory McIlroy

Tour Championship picks 2023: Matchups

Caddie: Sungjae Im (-130, Round 1 matchup) over Tony Finau (DraftKings) — Tony is struggling big time, finishing barely in the top 40 last week, whereas Sungjae is on a heater.

Mayo: Sungjae Im (-120, with starting strokes) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) — I love Sungjae this week, and Conners may have the worst resume at East Lake over the past few years of anyone in the field.

Gdula: Si Woo Kim (-120, Round 1 matchup) over Sepp Straka (FanDuel) — Kim is a great course fit for East Lake, and grades out as the much better ball-striker. He just doesn’t putt as well.

Gehman: Corey Conners (-110, without starting strokes) over Tony Finau (Bet365) — I don’t mind picking on Finau who has struggled for the past few months, earning just one top-10 finish in his last 10 events. He continues to lose multiple strokes on the greens nearly every time he tees it up. Conners, on the other hand, has been trending in the right direction finishing inside the top 10 in both playoff events. His game is sharp and his ability to play out of the short grass should help him at East Lake.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (-115, Round 1 matchup) over Scottie Scheffler (FanDuel) — McIlroy’s East Lake record is out of this world, and he’s gaining nearly three strokes per round over his past 36 rounds, distancing himself from Scheffler at this point ball-striking wise. Rory should be in attack mode early trailing Scheffler, too, so I really like this one.

Powers, Golf Digest: Rickie Fowler (+100, with starting strokes) over Tommy Fleetwood (DraftKings) — These two are both starting at three under, so we’re all even here. They both tied for 25th last week but it was Fowler who striped his irons while Fleetwood’s went cold.

Lack: Tommy Fleetwood (-120, with starting strokes) over Rickie Fowler (DraftKings) — This feels like the perfect situation for Tommy Fleetwood. He’s too far back to have a legitimate chance of winning, but he still possesses some of the most upside in the field based on the rate that he gains over three strokes per round to the field compared to his peers. I love this course fit for him as well, as the Englishman has a sterling resume on Bermudagrass greens and is one of the more accurate drivers of the ball in this field. Fowler, on the other hand, with his Ryder Cup bid all but secured, folded like a cheap suit over the weekend down the stretch at Olympia Fields, and has yet to finish top 20 since his win in Detroit. In what could be a preview of what’s to come in Rome, I expect Fleetwood to roll.

Matchup Results from the BMW Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Henley (-125) over Clark); Gdula: 1 for 1 (Clark (-110) over Day); Mayo: PUSH (Fleetwood (-120) over Morikawa); Powers: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1; Caddie: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1

Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Powers: 23-17-2 (up 5.81 units); Gehman: 23-17-2 (up 4 units); Lack: 18-13-1 (up 2.83 units); Caddie: 21-17-4 (up 2.65 units); Hennessey: 22-18-2 (up 2.62 units); Mayo: 16-21-2 (down 5.49 units); Gdula: 17-24-2 (down 8.32 units)

Tour Championship picks 2023: Top 10s

Caddie: Xander Schauffele (-115, with starting strokes, DraftKings) — If there’s one player I trust as much as Rory here at East Lake, it’s Xander.

Mayo: Si Woo Kim (+330, with starting strokes, DraftKings) — Accuracy has been off the charts in 2023 for Si Woo, and if you see Pete Dye or Donald Ross under “Course Designer” you know he’s live to be on the leaderboard come Sunday.

Gdula: Russell Henley (+160, with starting strokes, FanDuel) — Henley has the accuracy and irons to play well at East Lake, and he’s already starting at three under. The model shows value on Henley to inch his way up the leaderboard this week.

Gehman: Russell Henley (+160, with starting strokes, FanDuel) — Henley has piled up three straight top-10 finishes and has gained strokes to the field in eight of his last 10 starts. He’s only played the Tour Championship twice and those date back to 2014 and 2017, but he’s gained 11.57 strokes to the field in those eight events.

Hennessey, Golf Digest: Russell Henley (+160, with starting strokes, FanDuel) — I’ll add to Rick’s reasoning above that Henley is third in Fairways Gained and sixth in Good Drives Gained on Fantasy National, which should produce some great opportunities with his red-hot irons.

Powers, Golf Digest: Sam Burns (+500, with starting strokes, DraftKings) — He’s starting at even par so he’s got a lot of work to do, but might only take one really low one to leapfrog a bunch of guys and find yourself hovering around the top 10 this week.

Lack: Sungjae Im (+230, with starting strokes, DraftKings) — Sungjae Im remains one of the five players in this field to qualify for East Lake in each of the past four seasons, and with a runner-up finish last year, he’s really starting to get acquainted with the Atlanta staple. Sungjae always seems to heat up at this time of year, and his five top 25s at the Donald Ross-designed Sedgefield, which features similar agronomy and also places an emphasis on finding the fairway, should be translatable to further high end finishes at East Lake. Coming off a seventh at the BMW, I expect Sungjae to continue his playoff success in Atlanta.

Top-10 results from the BMW Championship: Gehman: 1 for 1 (Max Homa +200); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Viktor Hovland +145); Everybody else: 0 for 1

Top-10 results from this season: Gehman: 13 for 42 (up 23.6 units); Gdula: 10 for 42 (up 4.8 units); Hennessey: 8 for 42 (up 3.40 units); Lack: 8 for 32 (up 0.4 units); Mayo: 8 for 39 (down 3.9 units); Caddie: 9 for 42 (down 4.1 units); Powers: 5 for 42 (down 6.4 units)

Tour Championship picks 2023: One and Done

Gehman: Wyndham Clark — If your one and done continues into the Tour Championship, you should be firing up the best available player that you have remaining. For me, that’s Wyndham Clark. I’m not thrilled about this, but Clark showed a little positive play last week in Chicago, finishing T-15 and hopefully ending a short slump.

Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Zozo: Sungjae Im. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. Bermuda: Denny McCarthy. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Houston Open: Aaron Wise. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. American Express: Brian Harman. Farmers: Jason Day. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Honda: Sungjae Im. API: Rory McIlroy. Players: Jon Rahm. Valspar: Justin Rose. WGC-Match Play: Cameron Young. Valero: Rickie Fowler. Masters: Jordan Spieth. RBC Heritage: Collin Morikawa. Zurich: Kurt Kitayama. Mexico Open: Ben Martin. Wells Fargo: Viktor Hovland. Byron Nelson: K.H. Lee. PGA Championship: Xander Schauffele. Charles Schwab Challenge: Min Woo Lee. Memorial: Patrick Cantlay. RBC Canadian Open: Tyrrell Hatton. U.S. Open: Brooks Koepka. Travelers: Tony Finau. Rocket Mortgage: Cameron Davis. John Deere: Denny McCarthy. Scottish: Matt Fitzpatrick. Open: Dustin Johnson. 3M: Emiliano Grillo. Wyndham: Si Woo Kim. FedEx St. Jude: Max Homa. BMW: Lucas Glover.

Hennessey: Keegan Bradley — I believe I’ve used every other player above Keegan on the odds board, which is a reason why OAD leagues should never include the Tour Championship.

Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. Houston Open: Jason Day. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. American Express: Brian Harman. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. AT&T Pebble Beach: Seamus Power. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Honda: Chris Kirk. API: Keith Mitchell. Players: Rory McIlroy. Valspar: Adam Hadwin. WGC-Match Play: Tyrrell Hatton. Valero: Nick Taylor. Masters: Scottie Scheffler. RBC Heritage: Jordan Spieth. Zurich: Sahith Theegala. Mexico Open: Gary Woodland. Wells Fargo: Xander Schauffele. Byron Nelson: Tyrrell Hatton. PGA Championship: Jon Rahm. Charles Schwab Challenge: Justin Rose. Memorial: Corey Conners. RBC Canadian Open: Tommy Fleetwood. U.S. Open: Max Homa. Travelers: Tom Kim. Rocket Mortgage: Rickie Fowler. John Deere: Adam Schenk. Scottish: Min Woo Lee. Open: Brooks Koepka. 3M: Cameron Young. Wyndham: Russell Henley. FedEx St. Jude: Wyndham Clark. BMW: Lucas Glover.

Powers: Scottie Scheffler — Boy, I really am a dope for not using Scheffler yet.

Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Poston. Shriners: Sungjae Im. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Sentry TOC: Xander Schauffele. Sony Open: Gary Woodland. American Express: Cameron Young. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. WMPO: Sungjae Im. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. Honda: Chris Kirk. API: Will Zalatoris. Players: Patrick Cantlay. Valspar: Justin Suh. WGC-Match Play: Tom Kim. Valero: Matt Kuchar. Masters: Tony Finau. RBC Heritage: Rickie Fowler. Zurich: Robby Shelton. Mexico Open: Luke List. Wells Fargo: Viktor Hovland. Byron Nelson: Tom Hoge. PGA Championship: Brooks Koepka. Charles Schwab Challenge: Tommy Fleetwood. Memorial: Shane Lowry. RBC Canadian Open: Justin Rose. U.S. Open: Dustin Johnson. Travelers: Tom Kim. Rocket Mortgage: Ludvig Aberg. John Deere: Denny McCarthy. Scottish: Adam Scott. Open: Rory McIlroy. 3M: Sepp Straka. Wyndham: Aaron Rai. FedEx St. Jude: Sam Burns. BMW: Jordan Spieth.

About our experts

Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Mayo helped create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National along with the Race for the Mayo Cup One and Done contest. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME .

Brandon Gdula , managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13 .

Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industry’s leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood .

Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. As well as contributing to Golf Digest, Andy is also a data analyst and writer for RickRunGood.com, where he covers PGA Tour betting and daily fantasy. He came to Golf Digest’s betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. In his free time, Andy can likely be found on a golf course. Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports

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2024 St. Jude Championship predictions, expert picks, odds, field, golf best bets for FedEx Cup Playoffs

The postseason gets underway this week with players fighting to climb inside the top 50.

The 2024 postseason is upon us as the PGA Tour travels to TPC Southwind to kick off the FedEx Cup Playoffs for the third straight season. The St. Jude Championship will play host to the top 70 players from the regular season with the field set to trim by 20 names ahead of next week's BMW Championship.

The St. Jude Championship marks a crucial cut-off point for PGA Tour members. Those who qualify for the BMW Championship — i.e. finish inside the top 50 by week's end -- will not only head West for the tournament but immediately be cleared to participate in every PGA Tour signature event for the 2025 season.

Those in jeopardy of not qualifying for those tournaments include former FedEx Cup champion Jordan Spieth, young superstar Min Woo Lee, former U.S. Open champion Justin Rose and a couple winners from this season in Nick Dunlap and Nick Taylor. Reigning FedEx Cup champion Viktor Hovland will be a fixture at those tournaments due to his spot in the Official World Golf Rankings, but the Norwegian finds himself in a dire position heading into Memphis.

Currently No. 57 in the FedEx Cup standings, Hovland needs a big week at TPC Southwind if he hopes to not only defend his BMW Championship trophy next week but also his FedEx Cup crown at East Lake in the Tour Championship two weeks from now.

While Hovland has not been able to replicate the magic of 2023, Scottie Scheffler has and then some. Fresh off donning an Olympic gold medal in Paris, Scheffler seeks his eighth victory of the year. That would create a path to double-digit wins this season alone should he run the table in the postseason. Building up a substantial lead in the FedEx Cup standings, Scheffler aims to enter the Tour Championship with a two-stroke lead for the third straight season.

Hoping to cut Scheffler's edge at the St. Jude is two-time major champion Xander Schauffele, in the midst of his own season to remember. Looking for some of his major magic to transfer over to the playoffs, Schauffele runs second to Scheffler and just ahead of Rory McIlroy.

These three have combined for 10 PGA Tour victories in 2024 while big names like Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Åberg, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Sahith Theegala, Sungjae Im, Justin Thomas and Brian Harman -- all of whom are inside the top 20 of the FedEx Cup -- have combined for zero.

Notable golfers on the fringe

2024 st. jude championship schedule.

Dates:  Aug 15-18 Location:  TPC Southwind — Memphis, Tennessee Par:  70 |  Yardage:  7,243 Purse:  $20 million

2024 St. Jude Championship field, odds

• Scottie Scheffler (7/2)
• Xander Schauffele (7-1): The world No. 2 had eyes on his second straight gold medal before a forgettable Sunday at Le Golf National resulted in a T9 finish. Schauffele has not placed outside the top 25 since the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February, and he has a real chance to steal the FedEx Cup from Scheffler should his quality persist throughout August. A menace at East Lake, Schauffele seeks to solidify his hold near the top of the FedEx Cup before the Tour Championship. He possesses a rather bland history at TPC Southwind with his only top 20 coming back in 2020.
• Rory McIlroy (9-1): McIlroy has positioned himself to make a legitimate run at his fourth FedEx Cup crown. His march begins at a comfortable spot on the calendar as he holds four top-12 finishes in seven trips to TPC Southwind, including a T3 last year when he finished one stroke out of a playoff. With four top-five results in his last six tournaments, McIlroy's beginning to bounce and may well explode should the putter cooperate a bit more.
• Collin Morikawa (12-1): Morikawa is currently experiencing the best season of his career from a strokes-gained perspective. While he has not laid claim to major championships like 2020 and 2021, he has become a much more well-rounded golfer with career highs off the tee, around the green and with the putter in hand. His iron play -- still very good -- has room to improve if it is to return peak levels, but that's a good problem to have if you're Morikawa. He has three top 20s in four trips to Memphis.
• Ludvig Åberg (20-1)
• Patrick Cantlay (22-1): The 2021 FedEx Cup champion is rounding into form at the exact right time. With three top-25 finishes in a row, including top fives at the U.S. Open and the Travelers Championship, Cantlay should be licking his lips at avenging his playoff defeat from a season ago. After a lackluster beginning to his season from tee to green, he has righted the ship and looks much more like his usual self. If he putts like he did three years ago, Cantlay can be a FedEx Cup champion again.
• Tommy Fleetwood (25-1)
• Hideki Matsuyama (33-1)
• Viktor Hovland (35-1): Take away his third-place finish at the PGA Championship, and Hovland's best tournament has been a T15 at the Memorial. A peculiar part of Hovland's 2024 has been how little he has played. Playing in 23 tournaments each of the last two calendar years, he has only teed it up 13 times (plus the Olympics) so for this year. It may prove to only be 14 on the PGA Tour as he has endured career worst marks on approach and around the green where he ranks 175th out of 176 players.
• Tony Finau (35-1)

2024 St. Jude Championship expert picks

Who will win the FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world?  Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard and best bets , all from the model that's nailed 13 golf majors and is up more than $9,500 since June 2020.

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2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship golf odds, projections: Proven golf model reveals picks, Xander Schauffele prediction and best bets

The 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship begins on Thursday, marking the beginning of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler headlines the FedEx St. Jude Championship field, and he is the +360 favorite (risk $100 to win $360) in the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds. Scheffler has won six PGA tournaments this season and is coming off an Olympic gold medal. He will have to get past other FedEx St. Jude Championship contenders like Xander Schauffele (+750), Rory McIlroy (+900) and Collin Morikawa (+1400) at TPC Southwind in Memphis. 

We simulated the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship 10,000 times, and there are some MAJOR surprises. 

Join SportsLine here to see the model's shocking projected leaderboard .

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020.  In fact,  the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since June 2020, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters, its third Masters in a row, and this year's PGA Championship and U.S. Open!  Anyone who has followed it has seen MASSIVE returns!  Join SportsLine now to see the model's shocking 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks from 10,000 simulations !

One surprise: Rory McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites, does not crack the top five this week. The model has also examined where Xander Schauffele finishes. Schauffele ranks second in both the Official World Golf Ranking and the FedEx Cup Playoff standings after winning the PGA Championship and Open Championship. He also finished eighth at the Masters and seventh at the U.S. Open, so he has been outstanding in the biggest tournaments this season. 

The model is targeting FIVE golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make a STRONG run at the title!  Anyone who backs these golfers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks!

So who wins the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship, where does Schauffele finish, and which HUGE longshots make a serious run at the title? ...  Join SportsLine right now to see who you can bank on to win, and see which longshots make a run at the title, all from the model that's nailed 13 majors, including three straight Masters, the PGA Championship and the U.S. Open ! 

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